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New Zealand  New Zealand 

India vs New Zealand 1st Test Betting Tips 25/11/2021

Teams Status

New Zealand 

New Zealand are going to attempt to accomplish what has not been accomplished since 2012, which is to beat India in a Test series in India.

The last team to do that were England, which benefited from Alistair Cook’s incredible form to beat India 2-1.

That England team had several big names, and this Kiwi side does not match but then that India team was also chock full of stars. 

Nonetheless, no version of India is easy to beat on their own soil, and the enormity of the task ahead is not lost on New Zealand coach Gary Stead, who called their hosts “one of the great challenges on the Test calendar”.

The Kiwis get back their regular captain Kane Williamson for the series. He had sat out the 3-0 T20I drubbing as the team prioritised the longer format.

India

India are automatic at home no matter what year, what opposition and what options. 

That said, the current Indian side is missing a number of key players. Former captain Virat Kohli took himself out of contention for the opening Test, while Rohit Sharma, wicketkeeper Rishabh Pant and fast bowlers Jasprit Bumrah and Mohammed Shami have been rested for the entire series after nonstop cricket for months.

To make matters even worse, KL Rahul has picked up an ill-timed thigh injury, leaving India with a second-string side, which spells good news for the visiting team.

What Do the Sportsbooks Say?

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India are the favourites for the opening Test. Parimatch has India priced at 1.22 and New Zealand at 4.20. Sportsbet has India available for 1.23 and New Zealand for 4.30. Lastly, 22Bet has India priced at 1.235 and New Zealand at 4.10.


Tipster’s Angle

Tip: Kane Williamson to score more than 32.5 runs @ 1.87

Full disclosure: Kane Williamson’s average of 35.46 in Tests played in India is nothing special but his trips to India came in 2010, 2012, and 2016. In the past five years, the Kiwis did not visit India at all, and it was these five years during which Williamson has arguably grown the most. He’s well-rested too and up against an understrength Indian side. He should score some runs in the opening stanza. The odds have been sourced from Parimatch.

Tip: New Zealand or draw @ 2.41

India are as depleted as they’ve been in years. Even their backups can be more than a handful on home soil but we think the Kiwis will not get a better chance than this to spring a surprise. The Indians can come back later in the series or the very next game but we think that the Kiwis have a chance to cause an upset or at the very least, force a draw, in the first Test, which is why a double chance bet is the best option. The odds have been sourced from Parimatch.

Conclusion

India are slightly bigger favourites than they should be. We think there is value in New Zealand here. Choose wisely!

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