Italian Serie A Betting Tips

The Juve-Milanese dominance

The inaugural season in 1898 was won by Genoa but details of the first 30 years are scant. Once the format was revised in 1929, the league was won by Ambrosiana-Inter – the side now known as Inter Milan – followed by five straight Juventus title triumphs.

Since then, Juventus have remained the most consistently dominant champions, often stringing together lengthy sequences of titles, almost to the point of making the league a bit monotonous for the fans as well as punters.

The Old Lady, as they are affectionately called, have won a staggering 36 titles out of 123. It amounts to an almost unbelievable 29 per cent of all Serie A seasons. Meanwhile, AC Milan and Inter have won 18 titles each, giving them a combined percentage of another 29, which when coupled with Juve’s haul, accounts for 58 per cent of all titles.

Everyone else have won just 42 per cent, which demonstrates that Serie A has basically been a three-team division.

Generally speaking, teams and clubs from biggest cities of a league tend to replicate their host cities’ size and can become more successful than small-town rivals. But in Serie A, this principle of sports economics does not hold.

AS Roma and SS Lazio, the two most prominent clubs of Italy’s largest and capital city Rome, have a combined total of five Serie A titles. The city saw its last title triumph in 2000-01 when Roma won. It’s been 20 years of drought since.

In the present stretch, Juventus have been riding another one of their almost never ending title waves. After being relegated to Serie B due to Calciopoli scandal and climbing back in the top division instantly, Juve reclaimed the title in 2012 and have since notched nine titles on the bounce.

However, they could not do 10 straight as Inter Milan, under Antonio Conte’s leadership, snapped their streak. The Nerazzuri are unlikely to repeat as Conte left this summer and the club is in a massive financial crisis.

Inter’s local rivals AC Milan have also been weakened this summer due to the departure of Gianluigi Donnarumma to PSG. They can still remain in the mix though due to Zlatan Ibrahimovic still being with them. The exciting Atalanta, Luciano Spaletti-coached Napoli and Jose Mourinho-led AS Roma give the fans the hope that the upcoming season will be another exciting one.

Betting on Italian Serie A

As explained above, the Italian Serie A is almost always a three-horse race. In the past 20 years, no one other than the two Milan sides and Juventus have claimed the Scudetto – a decoration worn by Serie A winners.

Their oligopoly is unlikely to be challenged any time soon as the Milan sides have rejuvenated themselves lately whereas Juve hog the most talent, including the legendary Cristiano Ronaldo.

Thus, if looking for outright bets in Serie A, the safest bet will be to pick one of these three.

Last season was a bit of an upset as Juventus failed to win the league and Inter triumphed. Inter can be backed to repeat at odds of 3.20. Those who expect Juventus to bounce back can back them at odds of 1.955. The real value, though, could be in Milan, who are a whopping 11.0 to win the title. Mourinho’s Roma also have tall odds of 16.0 if folks think the Portuguese can revive the sleeping giants.

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League Standings

# Team Pl W D L GD Pts
1 AC Milan 38 26 8 4 38 86
2 Inter Milan 38 25 9 4 52 84
3 Napoli 38 24 7 7 +43 79
4 Juventus 38 20 10 8 +20 70
5 Atalanta 38 16 11 11 +17 59
6 Lazio 38 18 10 10 +19 64
7 Roma 38 18 9 11 +16 63
8 Fiorentina 38 19 5 14 +8 62
9 Verona 38 14 11 13 +6 53
10 Torino 38 13 11 14 +5 50
11 Empoli 38 10 11 17 -20 41
12 Sassuolo 38 13 11 14 -2 50
13 Bologna 38 12 10 16 -11 46
14 Spezia 38 10 6 22 -30 36
15 Udinese 38 11 14 13 3 47
16 Sampdoria 38 10 6 22 -17 36
17 Venezia 38 6 9 23 -35 27
18 Cagliari 38 6 12 20 -34 30
19 Genoa 38 4 16 18 -33 28
20 Salernitana 38 7 10 21 -45 31

League Standings

# Team
1 AC Milan
2 Inter Milan
3 Napoli
4 Juventus
5 Atalanta
6 Lazio
7 Roma
8 Fiorentina
9 Verona
10 Torino
11 Empoli
12 Sassuolo
13 Bologna
14 Spezia
15 Udinese
16 Sampdoria
17 Venezia
18 Cagliari
19 Genoa
20 Salernitana
Pl W D L GD Pts
38 26 8 4 38 86
38 25 9 4 52 84
38 24 7 7 +43 79
38 20 10 8 +20 70
38 16 11 11 +17 59
38 18 10 10 +19 64
38 18 9 11 +16 63
38 19 5 14 +8 62
38 14 11 13 +6 53
38 13 11 14 +5 50
38 10 11 17 -20 41
38 13 11 14 -2 50
38 12 10 16 -11 46
38 10 6 22 -30 36
38 11 14 13 3 47
38 10 6 22 -17 36
38 6 9 23 -35 27
38 6 12 20 -34 30
38 4 16 18 -33 28
38 7 10 21 -45 31

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