Italy Italy
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Spain Spain

Italy vs Spain Euro 2020 Semi Final Betting Tips 07/07/2021

Teams Status

Italy

Italy have made it five wins in five matches so far and made it to the semifinals. They topped Group A consisting of teams like Wales, Switzerland and Turkey. They outplayed their opponents in the group stages, where they scored seven goals and kept a clean sheet in all three matches. In the Round of 16, Austria gave a better fight and stretched the game into extra time. Italy prevailed with a 2-1 win after the goals from Federico Chiesa and Matteo Pessina. The quarter final clash against Belgium was the toughest of the lot as they were in some good form as well. Italy went 2-0 up early in the first half with goals from Nicolo Barella and Lorenzo Insigne. Despite Belgium pulling one back, Italy held on and won the match. Mancini will be looking for a replacement for the injured Leonardo Spinazzola.

Spain

Spain on the other hand were one of the most inconsistent teams in the Euros this year but still managed to make it to the semifinals. So far, they have just one match in the regular 90 minutes. They managed to come out of Group E after finishing in the second position just two points below Sweden. They scored a total of six goals and conceded just one goal in the group stages. They played their round of 16 match against Croatia, where a total of eight goals were scored. Spain won that match in extra time after the regular time result read 3-3. Their quarterfinal fixture was easier as well but they had to struggle their way to win the match. It went all the way to the penalties, where Spain prevailed with a 3-1 win. Luis Enrique has a lot of thinking to do when faces the fearless Italian side.

What Do the Sportsbooks Say?

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According to the 10Cric sportsbook, Italy are the favorites to win the match and are placed at 2.45, Spain are placed at 2.90 and the draw is at 3.15 odds. Italy are placed at 2.60 according to the Dafabet sportsbook, Spain are placed at 3.00 and the draw is at 3.20 odds. According to the Betway sportsbook, Italy are placed at 2.60, Spain are placed at 2.90 and the draw is at 3.10 odds.


Tipster’s Angle

Despite the odds being slightly in favor of Italy, both teams have an equal chance of winning this match. We are seeing a lot of high scoring fixtures, this also could take a similar path as the other knockout fixtures.

Tip: Both Teams To Score @ 1.90

In the last four head to head matches, both teams managed to find the back of the net in two of those matches. One of the last two head to head matches played in competitive matches had both teams scoring in them. In the last ten matches that Italy had played across competitions, they managed to score a goal in all of those matches. Spain on the other hand have scored a goal in eight of their last ten matches across competitions. They had both teams scoring in six of their last ten matches. Also, Austria managed to break their defense and so did Belgium. So it is likely that even Spain can do the same and even Italy can score as the Spanish defense is not that great. So, backing both teams to score at 1.90 odds at the Betway sportsbook would be a good bet. 

Tip: Total Goals Over 2.5 @ 2.20

In the last head to head match, a total of three goals were scored in that match. In the last ten matches that Italy had played across competitions, over 2.5 goals were scored in six of those matches. In the Euros, Italy has seen over 2.5 goals in four of the five matches that they have played so far. Also, over 2.5 goals were scored in both the knockout matches that Italy had played.  In the last ten matches that Spain had played across competitions, over 2.5 goals were scored in five of those matches. Also, over 2.5 goals were scored in two of the last three matches that Spain has played. So, it is very likely that over 2.5 goals will be scored at 2.20 odds available at the Betway sportsbook.

Conclusion

By considering the teams’ form, Italy have an advantage over Spain in this fixture but Spain can destroy any opponent on their day. Also, we have seen a few upsets in the tournament so far. Spain needs to bring their A-game to beat Italy.

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