Inter Milan vs. Sampdoria: Will it be Too Late For The Nerazzurri to Retain Their Title?

May 20, 2022
Benson Chikezie

Serie A 2021/2022
Matchday 38
Giuseppe Meazza Stadium, Milan

Inter Milan Inter Milan
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00 Hr
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Sampdoria Sampdoria

As the curtains come down on one of the most entertaining Serie A title races since the turn of the millennium, Inter Milan are on the brink of falling short as AC Milan have a two-point lead over them at the top of the table. Their rivals need only a point to win the Scudetto, boasting a superior head-to-head record that will make an Inter win on the last day meaningless as long as AC Milan do not lose.

The defending champions will host Sampdoria, who put four goals past Fiorentina to dent their Champions League hopes significantly. While Inter’s hopes of winning the Serie A title depend on a slip-up from AC Milan, they were ready to pile pressure on their rivals by dispatching Cagliari in their previous match. The game is scheduled for 21:30 IST on May 22.

Teams Status

Inter Milan Form and Team News

Inzaghi’s side sealed a first Coppa Italia victory since 2010/2011 when they beat Juventus 4-2 last week. Riding on that euphoria, it was business as usual when the Nerazzurri traveled to lowly Cagliari, winning that match by three goals to one to keep pace with AC Milan. Inter are two points off their rivals, who can seal their 19th Scudetto if they avoid defeat this weekend. 

It will be a cruel way for Inter to lose their title, and they will look back to a dry spell at the beginning of the year when they took only nine points from seven league games (two wins, three draws, and two losses). With Lautaro Martinez in such fine form, they can expect a straightforward victory while they wait on the result from AC Milan. Matias Vecino, at writing time, is Inter’s only absentee due to an injury.

Sampdoria Form and Team News

With little riding on this game for Sampdoria, one might be misled to think it will be an easy win for the Nerazzurri. But the away side did not have much to lose last time when they hosted Fiorentina, yet they put four goals past the Champions League hopefuls, hurting their UCL chances significantly.

However, Sampdoria have avoided defeat in only 30% of the matches they began as outsiders, the lowest percentage in Serie A. They also have a poor head-to-head record against the Nerazzurri in recent weeks, losing each of their previous four matches at Sam Siro and winning only once in history. They have a man in form in Francesco Caputo, who has scored twice and provided one assist in his last five league appearances.

Stefano Sensi and Manolo Gabbiadini remain sidelined with injuries and will not feature when Sampdoria take on Inter Milan.

What Do the Sportsbooks Say?

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Inter Milan are strong favorites to win this match, as they have more at stake than their visitors and boast a superior squad. The odds for an Inter Milan win are available on the sportsbooks at Sportsbet.io, Melbet, and Parimatch at 1.13, 1.14, and 1.11, respectively. For a draw, the odds on all three sportsbooks are 9.00, 10.00, and 9.50 odds, respectively, while a win for the visitors is available at 18.00, 21.00, and 20.00 odds, respectively.


Tipster’s Angle

Inter Milan have dominated this fixture home and away in recent years, with seven wins in their last ten matches, losing only twice and drawing once. Both losses came away from home, a ground where Sampdoria had only won once, in 1996!

Sampdoria have little to lose if they record a negative result, having already secured their safety. They also have a joint league-high 11 away losses, which is a concerning stat. Here are our tips for this match:

Tip: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.06

Nine times out of the last ten occurrences, this fixture has produced a result with at least two goals, with Inter hitting five on two occasions. We expect a competitive game, with both sides going at it, as Inter are rather desperate to win. Over 1.5 goals is available on the Parimatch sportsbook at 1.06 odds.

Tip: Inter Milan to Win Either Half @ 1.06

Inter Milan have had a great season, by their standards, and have won either half 28 times in 37 matches. They need a win to preserve their title hopes, so we expect them to prove too much to handle for Sampdoria in either half. Inter Milan to win either half is available on the Paripesa sportsbook at 1.06 odds.

Conclusion

The Serie A race has gone down the wire, and Inter Milan now need to win and hope AC Milan lose to retain their title. We might have a dramatic ending on the cards here, and we expect a great football game.

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