Freiburg vs. Bayern Munich— Will The Charge to Yet Another Bundesliga Title be Halted at Freiburg?

April 1, 2022
Akshay Nayak

Bundesliga 2021/2022
Matchday 28
Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg

Freiburg Freiburg
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Bayern Munich Bayern Munich

Freiburg host Bundesliga champions and current leaders Bayern Munich in what is a clash between the league’s meanest defenses at the Europa-Park Stadion in Freiburg. The match kicks off at 19:00 IST on Saturday, 2nd of April. It presents an opportunity for Bayern to continue their title charge or Freiburg to move into a Champions League qualification spot.

Freiburg’s performances have improved after a slow start to 2022, and they have pushed themselves again into the race for continental qualification. Bayern Munich target yet another league title, and with rivals Borussia Dortmund only six points behind, they will need to secure their championship as soon as possible. Both teams have conceded the least goals in the league, making this fixture even more interesting.

Teams Status

Take a look at the news on the form and squad availability for both sides:

Freiburg Form and Team News

Freiburg are unbeaten in six league matches (3 wins and three draws), halting a run of one win, one draw, and two losses at the turn of the year. Three points behind third-placed Bayer Leverkusen, the home team have clawed their way back into the reckoning for the UEFA Champions League with some solid performances.

They have managed 45 points from 27 games and are level with RB Leipzig, winning 12, drawing nine, and losing six. With 43 goals scored and 29 goals conceded (one less than Bayern’s 28), they have an influential midfielder in Vincenzo Griffo, who has scored seven goals and created six this season.

For injuries and absences, Freiburg will be without a handful of players for this crunch home tie against Bayern Munich. Yannick Keitel and Kevin Schade are certain to miss the encounter, while Woo-Yeong Jeong, Lukas Kubler, and Philipp Lienhart remain doubtful to feature.

Bayern Munich Form and Team News

Although they have recorded a few uncharacteristic losses this season, Bayern are having yet another stellar season and are bulldozing their way to retaining their Bundesliga crown. The Bavarians have scored in every league game this season and have recorded 14 wins, three draws, and two losses in their last 19 matches in all competitions.

They are six points clear at the top of the table, having managed 63 points from 27 games, winning 20, drawing 3, and losing four games all season. They have scored the league’s most goals (81) and conceded the least (28) and remain Germany’s most superior side by some distance. Talismanic forward Robert Lewandowski continues his stellar goalscoring form with 31 goals and one assist in the league.

Bayern Munich have a few injuries and suspensions going into this fixture. Niklas Sule and Benjamin Pavard join Alphonso Davies on the sidelines, and the trio will miss the trip to Freiburg.

What Do the Sportsbooks Say?

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The odds are in Bayern Munich’s favor, although Freiburg’s performances have proven they should not be regarded as pushovers. On the sportsbooks at Sportsbet.io, Paripesa, and Parimatch, the odds for a home win are placed at 5.90, 5.85, and 6.00, respectively. For a draw, the odds are 4.7, 5.00, and 5.00, respectively, while 1.50, 1.548, and 1.50 are the odds for a Bayern Munich victory in the three sportsbooks above.


Tipster’s Angle

Freiburg are yet to win against Bayern Munich since May 2015, losing eight and drawing three of those matches. The home team also have worries at the back and have failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their last 13 games. 

Bayern Munich, on their part, have been average away from home in recent weeks, winning one, drawing two, and losing one of their last four games away from home. However, they have an impressive goalscoring record away from home, with at least three goals in all their away games this season.

Here are the most likely outcomes to expect from this fixture:

Tip: Both Teams To Score @ 1.6

From the head-to-head record between these two, only on two occasions in their last ten encounters did both teams fail to score (in the 2017/2018 season). Seven consecutive encounters have featured at least a goal from both teams, with the last one coming in Bayern’s narrow win over Freiburg in November. 

We expect the trend to continue, as both sides have a lot at stake going into this match. Bayern have not also been entirely convincing at the back in recent fixtures. Both teams to score is available on the Melbet sportsbook at 1.6 odds.

Tip: Bayern Munich to Win Either Half @ 1.28

Bayern Munich have won 7 and drawn 3 of their last ten games against Freiburg. Although their form away from home is a bit average, they know how to turn on the heat and can score multiple goals on a good day.

Freiburg are no pushovers and can muster an upset, but we expect Bayern to win at least one half of this encounter. Bayern to win either half is available on the Paripesa sportsbook at 1.28 odds.

Conclusion

Freiburg lost the reverse fixture narrowly to Bayern and are seeking their first win against the Bavarians in almost seven years. Bayern Munich will hope to strengthen their hold on the top spot with yet another victory away from home and may be too much for the Freiburg wall standing before them.

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