South Africa vs Bangladesh 3rd ODI Betting Tips: Return to Centurion Offers Hope to Tigers

March 23, 2022

Zohaib Ahmed, Senior Author

After the shock and horror of the first ODI, South Africa bounced back in style in the second ODI, beating Bangladesh convincingly by seven wickets. The series now moves on towards the winner-takes-all third ODI, which will be played at SuperSport Park, Centurion on March 23 (Wednesday). The match is to begin at 4:30pm IST.

Teams Status

South Africa

The basic difference between the first two ODIs was early wickets. In the 1st game, South Africa pacers toiled but could not find an early breakthrough that eventually led to the home side conceding a mammoth total. In the second ODI, Lungi Ngidi and Kagiso Rabada were completely different animals as they wrecked the Bangladesh top order and set the tone for the rest of the innings as well as the match.

Rabada, in particular, was excellent, picking three wickets in his opening spell before returning at the death to pick up two more – especially of set batsmen.

The 195-run target was not going to trouble the Proteas batters, and it didn’t. With the target so small, the batters, too, seemed completely transformed. All of the top four got runs, with Quinton de Kock top scoring with 62 and Kyle Verreynne contributing an unbeaten 58 as South Africa got home with more than 12 overs to spare.

Bangladesh

All of the good that had helped Bangladesh win the first ODI turned into bad in the second ODI. The top order that had worked like a charm in the series opener fell like a house of cards, and that precisely is what proved to be the difference.

The Tigers, at one point, were reeling at 34 for 5 before Afif Hossain (72) and Mehidy Hasan Miraz (38) stabilised the ship somewhat. The eventually managed 194 – a fraction of the total they had managed in the 1^st ODI. The bowlers had no hope so it resulted in a seven-wicket defeat.

A good news for Bangladesh is that their star allrounder Shakib Al Hasan has decided against leaving the team despite a family emergency back home in Bangladesh. He will be available for the third ODI.

One big positive for Bangladesh is that this game will be played in Centurion – the same venue where they upset South Africa in the series opener.

What Do the Sportsbooks Say?

Brand	South Africa	Bangladesh
	1.18	4.80
	1.18	4.90
	1.184	5.05

After the first ODI shocker, normal service has now been restored. It is no surprise then that South Africa are big favourites for the 3^rd ODI. South Africa are priced at 1.18 by both Parimatch and Sportsbet, and 1.184 by Paripesa. Meanwhile, Bangladesh are available for 4.80 on Parimatch, 4.90 on Sportsbet and a whopping 5.05 on Paripesa.

Tipster’s Angle

Tip: Quinton de Kock to score more than 37.5 runs @ 1.87

Quinton de Kock was in superb form for South Africa in the second ODI. His blistering 62 came off just 41 balls, and if he hadn’t been caught, he would have gone on to hit a breezy century. The classy lefty is a monster when he gets going and takes a liking to a certain bowling unit. We think that in the series decider, he will continue where he left off in the last game. The odds have been sourced from Parimatch.

Tip: South Africa total runs in Over 1 – more than 3.5 @ 1.82

Both South African openers boast a very healthy strike rate in ODIs. Janneman Malan scores 88.35 runs every 100 balls while De Kock does it at an even better rate of 95.90. Malan was a bit on the slower side in the second ODI, taking 40 balls for his 25 but in his defence he was only playing a facilitator to his strike partner who was batting beautifully. With the pressure of being a game down now gone, we expect both South African openers to be quick off the blocks – Malan due to improved comfort and confidence, and De Kock due to his nature. The odds for this play have been sourced from Parimatch.

Conclusion

For Bangladesh to get something out of this game, they will have to repeat the same trick they used in the 1^st ODI. The top order will have to score big. There is no other possible route. The key to a South African victory will be the effectiveness of their front two pacers. If Ngidi and Rabada can make early inroads, the rest of the story will write itself.

Zohaib Ahmed

01:01, 23 Mar 2022

Senior Author

Zohaib Ahmed

Senior Author

01:01, 23 Mar 2022

Zohaib Ahmed is a sports journalist whose profession is to report and edit but whose passion is to predict and bet. He’s been in the industry for more than a decade and has worked/written for various bookmakers/tipsters. His expertise is in cricket, football, MMA, boxing and basketball.