New Zealand vs Netherlands 1st ODI Betting Tips: Underprepared Dutch Face Understrength Kiwis

March 28, 2022
Zohaib Ahmed

ICC Cricket World Cup Super League 2020-2023
1st ODI
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui

New Zealand New Zealand
00 Day
00 Hr
00 Min
00 Sec
Netherlands Netherlands

This becomes the opening match of the tour because sadly the one-off T20I was scrapped without a ball being bowled. This game, the first of three ODIs, will be played at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui on March 29 (Tuesday). The match is to begin at 6:30am IST.

Teams Status

New Zealand

New Zealand have been dealt a blow ahead of the series opener, with batter Mark Chapman being ruled out of the entire series after contracting the coronavirus.

In his place, George Worker has been brought back after four years away from the national fold.

While this seems like an easy home series where the bigger unit – New Zealand – may not have much to gain but Kiwi captain Tom Latham insists it could still prove useful to the hosts.

With several of New Zealand first-choice players out playing IPL, it provides them with the opportunity to test out fringe players and newbies.

“It’s a really beneficial series for them but also for us and building the depth of our side,” Latham recently said, clearly indicating what he intends to do in this series.


The stop-start rain in Napier on Friday robbed the Dutch with the chance to acclimatize themselves somewhat with local conditions ahead of this series. Their tour match with New Zealand XI was also abandoned in similar fashion four days earlier.

Before those pair of cancellations they did manage to pay two other tour matches but had lost both, which goes to show the gulf in the cricketing quality of both the nations.

This will be Netherlands’ first ODI clash with New Zealand after a gap of a quarter of a century. Thus, they would have needed all the help and adjustments available.

What Do the Sportsbooks Say?

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New Zealand are an ODI behemoth and were in the final of the last 50-over World Cup. Meanwhile, Netherlands are one of the weakest sides around. No surprises then that New Zealand are hot favourites for the 1st ODI. Parimatch has New Zealand priced at 1.06 and Netherlands at 8.60. Paripesa has New Zealand available for 1.056 and Netherlands for 10.0. Sportsbet, meanwhile, has New Zealand priced at 1.06 and Netherlands at 9.20.

Tipster’s Angle

Tip: Tom Latham to score more than 25.5 runs @ 1.87

The Kiwis are so strong and the Dutch so weak that whoever opens for the former is bound to get runs. Martin Guptill is likely to open for New Zealand but the 37.5-run spread seems a bit too high for him even against the Dutch. Therefore, we’d take the more reasonable 25.5-run spread on captain Tom Latham who bats one-down. The odds have been sourced from Parimatch.

Tip: Max O’Dowd to score more than 20.5 runs @ 1.87

Netherlands’ best batter in T20I format over the past two years has been Max O’Dowd, who has averaged a staggering 49.16 runs over this period. Of course, most of these runs were scored against much smaller side but still it is clear that he is the most capable and in-form batter they have. A mere 20.5 runs is not a big ask for someone who’s been averaging more than double that number of late. The odds have been sourced from Parimatch.


New Zealand in this series will be much diluted and without a number of key players but still they should prove too strong for the Dutch. The only way they don’t sweep the series is if the weather doesn’t permit.

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