Real Madrid vs. Manchester City: Who Will Prevail in this Season-Defining Fixture?

May 2, 2022
Benson Chikezie

UEFA Champions League 2021/2022
Playoffs: Semi-finals 1st Leg
Estadio Santiago Bernabèu, Madrid

Real Madrid Real Madrid
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Manchester City Manchester City

As Pep Guardiola claimed his side’s win over Leeds brought their dress of a double into sharper focus, a season-defining moment is on the horizon. Real Madrid will host Manchester City in the second leg of their UEFA Champions League semi-final clash on May 5, with kickoff slated for 00:30 IST.

Real Madrid were crowned La Liga champions after cruising to a 4-0 victory over Espanyol. City trounced Leeds United by the same scoreline to retake the top spot in the EPL, setting the stage for another feisty match at the Bernabèu after the first leg at the Etihad Stadium did not disappoint.

Teams Status

Here is the latest on performances and possible absences for both teams ahead of their midweek fixture:

Real Madrid Form and Team News

Coming away from the first leg with only a one-goal deficit was no mean feat to this Real Madrid team, as they looked completely out of sorts when City went two goals up. Their ability to recover and put in a good fight was evident again on the night, with the brilliance of Karim Benzema coming to the fore again.

Real Madrid sealed a sweet La Liga title, making their manager Carlo Ancelotti the first coach to win league titles across Europe’s top five leagues. They do need to perform better against English sides at home, as they lost a similar fixture to Chelsea in the quarter-finals and only progressed due to a comprehensive win in the first leg.

Perennial absentees Gareth Bale, Eden Hazard, and Luka Jovic remain sidelined, as Madrid are sweating over David Alaba’s fitness to ensure he is available for City’s visit.

Manchester City Form and Team News

Brazilian striker Gabriel Jesus netted six goals as Manchester City ran riot, scoring 14 goals in three games to cap off a week when they rose beyond injuries and fitness issues to perform at their very best. Guardiola’s men followed up their 4-3 victory over Real Madrid with a 4-0 thrashing of Leeds at Elland Road.

City have been excellent away from home, with their last loss coming against RB Leipzig in December. Since that negative result, The Blues have racked up eleven wins and three draws on the road in all competitions and are certainly feeling confident ahead of the match at Santiago Bernabèu.

City will be sweating over the fitness of defensive duo Kyle Walker and John Stones, with the latter picking up a knock in the first leg. They remain doubtful to make the trip, and Guardiola may be forced to turn to Nathan Ake and Zinchenko, who have been excellent deputies.

What Do the Sportsbooks Say?

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Although they play away from home, Manchester City are slight favorites to come out on top, according to the sportsbooks at Parimatch, Paripesa, and The odds for a Madrid victory at 3.35, 3.48, and 3.35, respectively.

The outcome of a Manchester City win is available on Parimatch and 2.06, Paripesa at 2.076, and at 2.04, respectively. The odds for a draw are as follows: 3.95, 4.04, and 3.85, respectively.

Tipster’s Angle

Tip: Over 2.5 Goals

Both teams scored seven goals in the first leg at the Etihad Stadium in a post-to-post affair that saw both teams pay less attention to defending. Real Madrid will come flying out of the blocks, and City will likely respond in kind, as they are not the type of team to sit back under pressure. We expect at least three goals on the night, and the odds for this outcome are available on the Melbet sportsbook at 1.532 odds.

Tip: Both Teams To Score

City put four past Leeds to cap off a week where they scored 14 times in three matches, while Real Madrid sealed the league title with a convincing 4-0 win over Espanyol. We expect both teams to get on the score sheet at the Santiago Bernabèu, and the odds for this outcome are available on the sportsbook at 1.49 odds.


Both teams may approach this fixture with more wariness than they did the first, but we still expect to see some beautiful attacking football on display in this match. Nothing much separates both teams in terms of attacking quality, so it is unclear whose favor this match will turn. 

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