Manchester City vs. Newcastle: Guardiola's Charges Cannot Afford a Repeat of Their Bernabèu Collapse

May 6, 2022
Benson Chikezie

English Premier League 2021/2022
Matchday 36
Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Manchester City Manchester City
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Newcastle Newcastle

Manchester City broke their hearts yet again after crumbling the final stages of their Champions League duel with Real Madrid, giving up a two-goal lead to lose by 6-5 on aggregate. They will now turn their attention to the Premier League and Newcastle, who stand in their way of another Premier League crown. The match is due for kickoff at 21:00 IST on May 8.

City will be ruing yet another continental heartbreak, but they are in danger of ending the season without a trophy for all their hard work. Liverpool lie just one point behind and are matching the Manchester outfit win-for-win at the top. Newcastle have been impressive under new management and a new coach and will hope to dent City’s chances after falling to a 1-0 loss against Liverpool last time out.

Teams Status

We bring you the latest form and team news from the Etihad Stadium and St. James’ Park:

Manchester City Form and Team News

After getting into the driving seat via a Riyad Mahrez strike in the 73rd minute, Manchester City conceded quickfire goals and a penalty in extra time to crash out of this year’s Champions League. They do not have enough time to lick their wounds as they return to action this weekend in a must-win fixture at home to Newcastle. Interestingly, they have only lost once in the last 28 league meetings with Newcastle, winning 23 and drawing four. 

However, their last five matches at home to Newcastle have seen them concede seven goals, more than they conceded in the previous thirteen. After shipping six goals across two legs against Real Madrid, Pep Guardiola will be concerned about his team’s defensive ability going into this match. Benjamin Mendy remains suspended, and John Stones is doubtful to feature this weekend.

Newcastle Form and Team News

Things are finally looking up for the Magpies, and their new ownership is beginning to turn into improved performances on the field of play. Since Eddie Howe was appointed their manager, Newcastle have amassed the third-most points of all teams in the league (32), with only Liverpool and Manchester City above them.

They recorded four wins on the bounce before losing to Liverpool last time out. Still, a return to winning ways looks unlikely as they have never won at the Etihad Stadium (two draws and twelve losses), and manager Eddie Howe has lost to Manchester City in all 11 times his teams have played against them.

Newcastle will be without Ryan Fraser, Isaac Hayden, and Jamal Lewis, who are injured. Also, Kieran Trippier and Callum Wilson are doubtful to feature against Manchester City.

What Do the Sportsbooks Say?

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City can now conserve all their energies and focus on the league title, and with their current form in front of goal, they are favorites to win this fixture in all three sportsbooks. The sportsbook at Paripesa tips City to win at 1.195 odds. On Melbet Manchester City to win is at 1.195 odds, and on at 1.16 odds.

The odds for a draw on all three sportsbooks are 8.00, 8.00, and 7.60, respectively, and Newcastle to win is available on Paripesa at 18.00 odds, Melbet at 18.00 odds, and at 16.50 odds.

Tipster’s Angle

City have won 23 of the last 28 meetings with Newcastle, losing only one and drawing four. They are yet to lose at home to the Magpies and have won every game against any team managed by Eddie Howe. 

Newcastle’s loss to Liverpool halted their four-match winning streak. Although they have a poor record against their hosts, Newcastle will be looking to change the narrative against a City side reeling from their Champions League exit. Here are the possible outcomes for this fixture:

Tip: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50

City have scored 34 goals in the 11 times they have faced an Eddie Howe team and have recorded at least three goals in seven of their last ten matches with Newcastle in all competitions. 

City put four goals past the Magpies in the reverse fixture, and their recent goalscoring form suggests another high-scoring match is on the cards. Over 2.5 goals is available on the Parimatch sportsbook at 1.50 odds.

Tip: Manchester City to Win @ 1.195

Manchester City will be desperate to get back to winning ways, with the Premier League title their only realistic chance for glory this season. We expect them to put their midweek heartbreak behind them as quickly as possible and coast to a victory on home soil against Newcastle. Manchester City to win is available on the Melbet sportsbook at 1.195 odds.


After collapsing dramatically at the Santiago Bernabèu, Manchester City cannot afford a repeat of that night as they look to seal another EPL crown in the coming weeks. They know they cannot afford a slipup, but Newcastle’s form suggests Manchester City will get a run for their money this weekend.

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