Aston Villa vs Chelsea Betting Tips 23/05/2021

May 21, 2021
Akshay Nayak
Aston Villa Aston Villa
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Chelsea Chelsea

Aston Villa vs Chelsea Betting Tips 23/05/2021

Teams Status

After three poor performances, Aston Villa bounced back really well against Tottenham in a 1-2 win on the road. Due to this, they are currently in the 11th position of the Premier League points table with 52 points from 37 matches including 15 wins, seven draws and 15 losses in the league. They have a very poor away record in the league as they have bagged just 22 points from 18 matches they have played on home turf. In the 37 matches, they have scored 53 goals and have conceded 45 goals. The team’s goal scoring list is led by Ollie Watkins, who has netted as many as 14 goals this season. Anwar El Ghazi has also chipped in with nine goals. Despite the injury in the middle of the season, Jack Grealish is the team’s best creator with ten assists to his name. Villa might consider fielding the same playing XI that beat Tottenham in midweek.

Chelsea are currently in the third position courtesy of a win over Leicester City in midweek. They have played 37 matches so far and have won 19 matches, drew ten and eight matches, accumulating 67 points in the process. They have a poor away record by their standards as they have bagged 34 points from the 18 matches that they have played on the road including ten wins, four draws and four losses. They have scored the least number of goals this season by a top six team with 57 goals and have conceded just 34 goals, which is the second lowest number of goals conceded. They have gotten goal contributions from various sources. Jorginho is the leading goal scorer for Chelsea with seven goals to his name. Mason Mount, Tammy Abraham and Timo Werner have chipped in with six goals each. Tuchel might want to stick to the same playing XI that defeated Leicester City.

What Do the Sportsbooks Say?

According to the Dafabet sportsbook, Chelsea are the favorites to win the match and are placed at 1.51, Aston Villa are placed at 6.40 and the draw is at 4.70 odds. Chelsea are placed at 1.47 according to the 10Cric sportsbook, Aston Villa are placed at 6.40 and the draw is at 4.30 odds. According to the Betway sportsbook, Chelsea are placed at 1.50, Aston Villa are placed at 6.50 and the draw is at 4.20 odds.


Tipster’s Angle

Despite the fact that Chelsea have been producing some low scoring contests, this is expected to be a high scoring match as seen in the previous head to head matches. Also, Chelsea have a slight advantage over Aston Villa.

Tip: Total Goals Over 2.5 @ 1.70

In the last 14 head to head matches played in the Premier League, over 2.5 goals were scored in 11 of those matches. Also, over 2.5 goals were scored in four of the last five head to head matches played at Villa Park. Even Aston Villa have produced some high scoring contests in recent times as eight of the last ten matches have had over 2.5 goals scored in them. Apart from that, four of the last five matches that Aston Villa played at home had over 2.5 goals scored in them. In the last three matches that Chelsea had played in the Premier League, over 2.5 goals were scored in two of those matches. So, it is very likely that over 2.5 goals will be scored at 1.70 odds available at the Betway sportsbook.

Tip: Aston Villa +1.25 @ 1.80

In the last ten matches that Aston Villa played across competitions, they covered the spread in eight of those matches. Even Aston Villa covered the spread of +1.25 in all the last five matches that they played at home. In the last ten matches that Chelsea played across competitions, Chelsea failed to cover the spread of -1.25 in eight of those matches. Also, they failed to cover the spread in all the three matches that they played on the road. In the last ten head to head matches played in the Premier League, Aston Villa covered the spread in seven of those matches. Aston Villa covered the spread in four of the last five head to head matches played at Villa Park. So, it is more likely that Villa will cover the spread of 1.25 at 1.80 odds available at the Dafabet sportsbook.

Conclusion

Chelsea will make it to the UEFA Champions League with a win here. Also, they have Liverpool and Leicester City breathing down their throats for the remaining two spots in the top four. Aston Villa will be playing to finish the season on a high.

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