Spain vs Poland Betting Tips 20/06/2021

June 18, 2021
Akshay Nayak
Spain Spain
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00 Hr
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Poland Poland

Spain vs Poland Betting Tips 20/06/2021

Teams Status

Spain

Spain are on the back of a draw in their opening match against Sweden in Group E. Spain were exceptional throughout the game but lacked proper finishing. They enjoyed 85% of the possession, 17 shots but only managed five shots on goal, which were all saved by the opposition goalkeeper. Also, lack of finishing led to the miss of five big chances and they were lucky enough not to concede in the two big chances that Sweden created. They would want to bring their A-game like in the qualifiers were unbeaten in the group as they bagged 26 points from the ten matches that they played including eight wins and two draws. They finished five points clear on the top ahead of Sweden. Luis Enrique might start Gerard Moreno ahead of Alvaro Morata against Poland.

Poland

Poland are coming into this fixture with a loss in the first match against Slovakia in Russia. Poland conceded early in the form of an own goal by Wojciech Szczęsny, which ended the first half with an advantage to the Slovaks. But Poland came out fighting and got their equalizer scored by Karol Linetty. After that Grzegorz Krychowiak was sent off, reducing Poland down to ten men. Milan Skriniar scored the winner for Slovakia. Poland had most of the possession, more shots but couldn’t find the target on more than one occasion. In the qualifiers, they finished at the top of their group. They had won eight matches, drawn one and lost just one match in the ten matches that they played, accumulating 25 points in the process. They might stick to the same playing XI apart from the replacement for the suspended Krychowiak.

What Do the Sportsbooks Say?

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Spain are placed at 1.35 according to the 10Cric sportsbook, Poland are placed at 8.25 and the draw is at 4.90 odds. According to the Dafabet sportsbook, Spain are the favorites to win the match and are placed at 1.40, Poland are placed at 8.60 and the draw is at 5.00 odds. According to the Betway sportsbook, Spain are placed at 1.36, Poland are placed at 8.00 and the draw is at 5.00 odds.


Tipster’s Angle

Unlike the last match for Spain, this could be a high scoring game when Spain goes head to head against Poland. Also, Spain is in better shape and form than Poland and could come out on top.

Tip: Spain -1 @ 1.60

Spain won the last head to head match that was played way back in 2010 and also Spain covered the -1 spread as they won the match by six goals. In the last ten matches that Spain had played across competitions, they have just lost one match including four wins and five draws. Also, Spain are unbeaten in the last six matches that they played at home. Spain have covered the spread of -1 in three of the last six matches that they have played. Poland have just three wins in their last ten matches including four draws and three wins. So, it is very likely that Spain will win the match and cover the spread of -1 at 1.60 odds available at the Dafabet sportsbook.

Tip: Total Goals Over 2.5 @ 1.72

A total of six goals were scored in the last head to head match played between these two sides. In the last six matches that Spain had played across competitions, over 2.5 goals were scored in three of those matches. Two of the last five matches that Spain played at home had over 2.5 goals scored in them. In the last ten matches that Poland had played across competitions, over 2.5 goals were scored in seven of those matches. Over 2.5 goals were scored in both the last two away matches that Poland had played in competitive tournaments. Also, over 2.5 goals were scored in the last match that Poland played in this tournament. So, over 2.5 goals could feature in this match at 1.72 odds available at the Betway sportsbook.

Conclusion

Despite a draw in the first match, Spain could still finish at the top of the group. They are more likely to come out with all three points here. But Poland are coming after losing a match that they were supposed to win. It will be extremely difficult from here on but not impossible.

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