Italy vs Wales Betting Tips 20/06/2021

13:27, 18 Jun 2021

Senior Author

13:27, 18 Jun 2021

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Italy will host Wales in the third round of the European Championships at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome on 20th June 2021 at 21:30 IST. The odds are in favor of winning the match and make it three wins in a row.

Teams Status

Italy

Italy are currently at the top of the table in group A after two matches. They have won both the matches that they have played in the tournament. In the opening match, they beat Turkey 3-0 courtesy of goals from Ciro Immobile, Lorenzo Insigne and an own goal. They carried the same momentum to the second match where they outplayed Switzerland. Manuel Locatelli opened the scoring in the first half after Giorgio Chiellini’s goal was disallowed. Locatelli then netted his second of the tournament before Ciro Immobile made it 3-0. They have scored six goals so far in two matches and have not conceded a single goal so far. They will be eyeing to win all the matches in the group stages as they did in the qualifiers where they won all the matches. Manchini is more likely to start Acerbi instead of the injured Chiellini and might field the same other ten players.

Wales

Wales are currently in the second position of group A and are also unbeaten, same as Italy. In the opening match, they held Switzerland for a 1-1 draw after Kieffer Moore canceled out Breel Embolo’s goal. They then stepped up their game against the Turkish side. After missing a series of chances, Aaron Ramsey finally scored in the 42nd minute to give them a 0-1 lead. Their skipper then skyed a penalty before assisting to a Connor Roberts goal in the injury time towards the end of the match to make it 2-0. Despite missing the penalty, Gareth Bale was the star performer of the match with two brilliant assists. Similar to the qualifiers, they could finish in second place. Robert Paige might stick to the same playing XI that he fielded in the win over Turkey.

What Do the Sportsbooks Say?

Italy	Draw	Wales
1.47	4.00	7.50
1.43	4.00	8.25
1.51	4.16	7.75

According to the 10Cric sportsbook, Italy are the favorites to win the match and are placed at 1.43, Wales are placed at 8.25 and the draw is at 4.00 odds. Italy are placed at 1.51 according to the Dafabet sportsbook, Wales are placed at 7.75 and the draw is at 4.16 odds. According to the Betway sportsbook, Italy are placed at 1.47, Wales are placed at 7.50 and the draw is at 4.00 odds.

Tipster’s Angle

Similar to the ones that Italy played in this tournament, this could be a high scoring thriller. Also, Italy are likely to win the match as they are in sensational form and have a better head to head record.

Tip: Italy To Win @ 1.51

In the last four head to head matches, Italy have won three matches and the other match ended in Wales coming on the top. Also, Italy had won both the head to head matches that they hosted on home turf. Italy have won all the last ten matches that they have played across competitions. They have won the last five home matches that they have played recently. Wales on the other hand, have won five matches, drew three and lost two matches in their last ten matches. They lost the last two of the last four away matches that they have played recently, including one win and a draw. So, it is very likely that Italy will win the match at 1.51 odds available at the Dafabet sportsbook.

Tip: Total Goals Over 2.5 @ 2.10

In the last four head to head matches, a total of 13 goals were scored at an average of 3.25 goals per match. And over 2.5 goals were scored in three of those four matches. Over 2.5 goals were scored in both the head to head matches that Italy played at home. In the last five matches that Italy had played, over 2.5 goals were scored in four of those matches. In the last five matches that Italy had played on home soil also had over 2.5 goals scored in four of those matches. In the first four matches of this group, Italy averages three goals per match, while Wales averages 1.5 goals per match. So, over 2.5 goals could be seen at 2.10 odds available at the Betway sportsbook.

Conclusion

These two teams are more likely to finish at their current positions and advance to the knockout phase. But Wales have to keep in mind that they should not lose by a very big margin, otherwise Switzerland could take advantage of that.