Sri Lanka vs India 3rd ODI Betting Tips 23/07/2021

19:36, 21 Jul 2021

Senior Author

19:36, 21 Jul 2021

Zohaib Ahmed is a sports journalist whose profession is to report and edit but whose passion is to predict and bet. He’s been in the industry for more than a decade and has worked/written for various bookmakers/tipsters. His expertise is in cricket, football, MMA, boxing and basketball.

The third and final ODI between Sri Lanka and India will be played on July 23 (Friday) at R Premadasa Stadium in Colombo. The match is scheduled to begin at 3pm IST.

Teams Status

Sri Lanka

After the heartbreak of the second ODI, it will be interesting to see what kind of character the young and naïve Sri Lankan side shows against an Indian side that has already clinched the series.

The hosts, having posted a more than decent 276-run target, had India pinned 193-7 and the tail exposed. But then the heroics of Deepak Chahar (69*) and Bhuvneshwar Kumar (19*) formed a match-winning 84-run partnership for the eighth wicket that turned the game on its head.

Such a defeat can take a toll on the team’s moral and Charith Asalanka admitted that both the players and coaches were emotional after seeing a famous win slip through their clutches.

The islanders’ batters have done quite well over the first two games and probably do not need any changes. Several of their bowlers, though, have struggled, which was sort of expected but it also means this is the area where we could see tweaks in the final game.

India

India found a new hero in the second ODI in the form of Deepak Chahar. Not only did he pick up two wickets but he then turned his team’s unlikely saviour, rescuing them from a certain defeat and sealing the series – their ninth consecutive series win over Sri Lanka.

It leaves the two-time world champions with a familiar dilemma: to retain the same side and gun for a whitewash or experiment with squad players and newcomers – of which the playing eleven already is pretty full.

The difference in confidence levels means that whichever version of India takes the file on Friday will, at the very least, keep things competitive if not win it.

What do the Sportsbook Say

Brand	Sri Lanka	India
	3.74	1.20
	3.75	1.28
	3.85	1.28

India are big favourites for the final match of the series as well. MelBet has India priced at 1.20 and Sri Lanka at 3.74. Dafabet has India available for1.28 and Sri Lanka for 3.85. Lastly, Bet365 has India priced at 1.28 and Sri Lanka at 3.75.

Tipster’s Angle

Tip: Sri Lanka to win at 3.85

Yes, a defeat such as the one in second ODI can drain a team but we make our predictions are based on what has already happened and not what could happen. And what has happened is that Sri Lanka were very close to winning the last game. Even if some would call it a fluke, the truth is that on the basis of evidence gathered in the last two ODIS, Sri Lanka have not done so bad that they be made such big underdogs. Even if they might not win, the right and responsible play for this game is to back Sri Lanka to win at 3.85 with Dafabet. This is the value play.

Tip: Prithvi Shaw to score over 39.5 runs @ 1.83

Prithvi Shaw has long been touted as the next big thing in Indian cricket, and he’s done okay so far at the international level. His ODI average, after five matches, is a mere 28. This will be a chance for him to truly erupt and boost his numbers. We believe this is as good an opportunity as any for him to make his mark and give his tally a timely kick.

Conclusion

The outcome of the third match will depend on India and how strong a line-up they end up naming. At full-strength, there is no comparison between the two but India may not necessarily want to win it as they already have the series in the bag.